Manchester United’s Michael Carrick leads the implied probability in the sack race at 75% because the club’s worst Premier League start in 40 years has left them 18th with just one league win after 10 matches and eight points, following a nine-game winless run that included heavy defeats to Bournemouth and Chelsea plus a chaotic 4-4 draw with Aston Villa. Crystal Palace’s Pierre Sage sits at 25.1% after his side’s defensive collapse—24 goals conceded, the division’s worst record—placed them bottom with seven points from 10 games and four straight league defeats. Both clubs acted during the November international break after sustained poor form, with Carrick’s high-profile role and United’s expectations amplifying the pressure relative to Sage’s shorter tenure at Selhurst Park.