Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65–89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
11. Mai 2026
<40
Ja
40-64
Nein
65–89
Nein
90-114
Nein
115-139
Nein
140-164
No
165-189
Nein
190-214
Nein
215-239
Nein
240+
Nein
<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65–89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
11. Mai 2026
<40
$382,037 Vol.
Ja
40-64
$238,372 Vol.
Nein
65–89
$331,921 Vol.
Nein
90-114
$508,477 Vol.
Nein
115-139
$59,227 Vol.
Nein
140-164
$25,016 Vol.
No
165-189
$23,326 Vol.
Nein
190-214
$11,833 Vol.
Nein
215-239
$10,591 Vol.
Nein
240+
$4,499 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,595,299Enddatum
11. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,595,299Enddatum
11. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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