Name: 'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office
Start: 2024-01-18T19:30:00Z
End: 2024-03-04T00:00:00Z

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This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses less than $70,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

<$70m

This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $70,000,000 (inclusive) and $80,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$70m-80m

This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $80,000,000 (inclusive) and $90,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$80m-90m

This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $90,000,000 (inclusive) and $100,000,000 (inclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$90m-100m

This is a market on how much 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo numbers under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by March 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

>$100m

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. 

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized. 

If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Wird Dune 3 oder Avengers: Doomsday am Eröffnungswochenende mehr einspielen?

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest domestic gross between opening and March 31, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Wird „A Minecraft Movie“ am 15. März 2025 der Film mit dem höchsten Inlandseinnahmen sein?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Greenland 2: Migration" grosses $25,000,000 or more domestically from opening through January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates from opening until January 31 (January 9 - January 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Total Gross in the Daily Box Office section for the specified timeframe, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Wird Greenland 2: Migration bis zum 31. Januar im Inland 25 Millionen oder mehr einspielen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Anaconda" grosses $70,000,000 or more domestically from opening through January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates from opening until January 31 (December 25 - January 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Total Gross in the Daily Box Office section for the specified timeframe, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Wird Anaconda bis zum 31. Januar in den USA 70 Millionen oder mehr einnehmen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Marty Supreme" grosses $70,000,000 or more domestically from opening through January 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates from opening until January 31 (December 25 - January 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Total Gross in the Daily Box Office section for the specified timeframe, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Wird Marty Supreme bis zum 31. Januar 70 Millionen oder mehr im Inland einnehmen?

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?

Wird das gesamte Inlandseinspielergebnis für Avatar: Feuer und Asche bis zum 31. Januar weniger als 400 Mio. betragen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth installment in James Cameron's Avatar series is explicitly announced to be in production or preparing to enter production by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the film must be explicitly acknowledged by James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, its distributor/studio (e.g., 20th Century Studios), or that distributor/studio's parent company (e.g., Disney) to be a sequel to "Avatar: Fire and Ash", and have a similar sequential relationship to the one between "Avatar: The Way of Water" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash". An announcement of a new qualifying film before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced film becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, a qualifying film's distributor (e.g., 20th Century Studios) or parent company (e.g., Disney), or a consensus of credible sources.

Wurde Avatar 4 bis zum 31. März genehmigt?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).

If the twelfth launch has not occurred by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$70m
$196,972 Umsatz
No

$70m-80m
$151,219 Umsatz
No

$80m-90m
$128,647 Umsatz
Yes

$90m-100m
$376,596 Umsatz
No

>$100m
$474,792 Umsatz
No

Marktkontext

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Regeln

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Marktkontext

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Über

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$70m$196,972 UmsatzNo

$70m-80m$151,219 UmsatzNo

$80m-90m$128,647 UmsatzYes

$90m-100m$376,596 UmsatzNo

>$100m$474,792 UmsatzNo

Marktkontext

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Regeln

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Marktkontext

'Dune: Part Two' Opening Weekend Box Office

Über

<$70m
$196,972 Umsatz
No

$70m-80m
$151,219 Umsatz
No

$80m-90m
$128,647 Umsatz
Yes

$90m-100m
$376,596 Umsatz
No

>$100m
$474,792 Umsatz
No