Sen. Tim Kaine's Iran War Powers Resolution, introduced April 16 amid Israel-Iran airstrike exchanges, seeks congressional approval for any U.S. military action against Iran and has bipartisan cosponsors like Sens. Rand Paul and Mike Lee, yet lingers in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee without hearings or markup scheduled. A House companion by Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie faces parallel delays in the Republican-led chamber. With Congress prioritizing a April 30 continuing resolution to avert shutdown, Ukraine and Israel aid packages, and debt ceiling talks, traders see an 81% No probability, betting on procedural hurdles, floor vote requirements, and historical reluctance for binding war powers limits in divided government.
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Sen. Tim Kaine's Iran War Powers Resolution, introduced April 16 amid Israel-Iran airstrike exchanges, seeks congressional approval for any U.S. military action against Iran and has bipartisan cosponsors like Sens. Rand Paul and Mike Lee, yet lingers in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee without hearings or markup scheduled. A House companion by Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie faces parallel delays in the Republican-led chamber. With Congress prioritizing a April 30 continuing resolution to avert shutdown, Ukraine and Israel aid packages, and debt ceiling talks, traders see an 81% No probability, betting on procedural hurdles, floor vote requirements, and historical reluctance for binding war powers limits in divided government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volumen
$3,989Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Sen. Tim Kaine's Iran War Powers Resolution, introduced April 16 amid Israel-Iran airstrike exchanges, seeks congressional approval for any U.S. military action against Iran and has bipartisan cosponsors like Sens. Rand Paul and Mike Lee, yet lingers in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee without hearings or markup scheduled. A House companion by Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie faces parallel delays in the Republican-led chamber. With Congress prioritizing a April 30 continuing resolution to avert shutdown, Ukraine and Israel aid packages, and debt ceiling talks, traders see an 81% No probability, betting on procedural hurdles, floor vote requirements, and historical reluctance for binding war powers limits in divided government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,989Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sen. Tim Kaine's Iran War Powers Resolution, introduced April 16 amid Israel-Iran airstrike exchanges, seeks congressional approval for any U.S. military action against Iran and has bipartisan cosponsors like Sens. Rand Paul and Mike Lee, yet lingers in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee without hearings or markup scheduled. A House companion by Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie faces parallel delays in the Republican-led chamber. With Congress prioritizing a April 30 continuing resolution to avert shutdown, Ukraine and Israel aid packages, and debt ceiling talks, traders see an 81% No probability, betting on procedural hurdles, floor vote requirements, and historical reluctance for binding war powers limits in divided government.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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