Trader consensus heavily favors Centro Democrático (CD) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election at 76.6% implied probability, reflecting the party's strong national polling behind the leading Independent Social Alliance and its organizational strength from Álvaro Uribe's loyal base amid fragmented opposition. MIRA-CJL coalition trails at 14.7% buoyed by evangelical turnout, while Partido Liberal Colombiano sits at 9.1% due to moderate voter consolidation efforts. Recent polls from Invamer and Datexco reinforce CD's edge, with key developments including high-profile CD endorsements in Antioquia and Bogotá, plus MIRA's faith-based rallies; however, coalition shifts and regional primaries ahead of the March 2026 vote could alter dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertCentro Democrático (CD) 76.6%
MIRA-CJL-Koalition (MIRA-CJL) 15.0%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 9.1%
Historisches Bündnis für Kolumbien (PH) 1.3%
$62,608 Vol.
$62,608 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD)
77%

MIRA-CJL-Koalition (MIRA-CJL)
15%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
9%

Historisches Bündnis für Kolumbien (PH)
1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Konservative)
<1%

Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%

Grüne Allianz (AV)
<1%

Partido de la U (La U)
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD) 76.6%
MIRA-CJL-Koalition (MIRA-CJL) 15.0%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 9.1%
Historisches Bündnis für Kolumbien (PH) 1.3%
$62,608 Vol.
$62,608 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD)
77%

MIRA-CJL-Koalition (MIRA-CJL)
15%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
9%

Historisches Bündnis für Kolumbien (PH)
1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Konservative)
<1%

Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%

Grüne Allianz (AV)
<1%

Partido de la U (La U)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Centro Democrático (CD) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election at 76.6% implied probability, reflecting the party's strong national polling behind the leading Independent Social Alliance and its organizational strength from Álvaro Uribe's loyal base amid fragmented opposition. MIRA-CJL coalition trails at 14.7% buoyed by evangelical turnout, while Partido Liberal Colombiano sits at 9.1% due to moderate voter consolidation efforts. Recent polls from Invamer and Datexco reinforce CD's edge, with key developments including high-profile CD endorsements in Antioquia and Bogotá, plus MIRA's faith-based rallies; however, coalition shifts and regional primaries ahead of the March 2026 vote could alter dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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