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Politik·Vereinigtes Königreich

Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Vereinigtes Königreich

Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung

30.000-40.000 100.0%

<10.000 <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Vol.

30.000-40.000 100.0%

<10.000 <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Vol.

<10.000

$1,082 Vol.

Nein

10k-20k

$16,258 Vol.

Nein

20k-30k

$11,654 Vol.

Nein

30.000-40.000

$18,749 Vol.

Ja

40k-50k

$6,431 Vol.

Nein

50k-60k

$1,753 Vol.

Nein

60.000+

$2,388 Vol.

Nein

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volumen
$58,316
Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volumen
$58,316
Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

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40%
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „30.000-40.000" mit 100%, gefolgt von „<10.000" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $58.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Clacton-Nachwahl: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „30.000-40.000" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „<10.000" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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