Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q4 2025 consensus estimates of -$2.30 EPS and $56.3 million revenue, reflecting the company's streak of four consecutive positive EPS surprises averaging over 20%—including Q3 2025's -$2.40 actual versus -$2.67 expected—via aggressive cost controls and operational streamlining, such as January 2026 U.S. store closures. Revenue expectations align with November guidance of $56-61 million, tempering optimism amid ongoing direct-to-consumer headwinds and consumer discretionary pressures. With shares near $3.50 and elevated implied volatility, the March 31 earnings release looms as the pivotal catalyst, where margin dynamics will test sustained profitability progress.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
Ja
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q4 2025 consensus estimates of -$2.30 EPS and $56.3 million revenue, reflecting the company's streak of four consecutive positive EPS surprises averaging over 20%—including Q3 2025's -$2.40 actual versus -$2.67 expected—via aggressive cost controls and operational streamlining, such as January 2026 U.S. store closures. Revenue expectations align with November guidance of $56-61 million, tempering optimism amid ongoing direct-to-consumer headwinds and consumer discretionary pressures. With shares near $3.50 and elevated implied volatility, the March 31 earnings release looms as the pivotal catalyst, where margin dynamics will test sustained profitability progress.
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 10, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q4 2025 consensus estimates of -$2.30 EPS and $56.3 million revenue, reflecting the company's streak of four consecutive positive EPS surprises averaging over 20%—including Q3 2025's -$2.40 actual versus -$2.67 expected—via aggressive cost controls and operational streamlining, such as January 2026 U.S. store closures. Revenue expectations align with November guidance of $56-61 million, tempering optimism amid ongoing direct-to-consumer headwinds and consumer discretionary pressures. With shares near $3.50 and elevated implied volatility, the March 31 earnings release looms as the pivotal catalyst, where margin dynamics will test sustained profitability progress.
As of market creation, Allbirds is estimated to release earnings on March 10, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Allbirds's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-2.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allbirds reports GAAP EPS greater than $-2.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Allbirds releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 10, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 24, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Allbirds (BIRD) beating Q4 2025 consensus estimates of -$2.30 EPS and $56.3 million revenue, reflecting the company's streak of four consecutive positive EPS surprises averaging over 20%—including Q3 2025's -$2.40 actual versus -$2.67 expected—via aggressive cost controls and operational streamlining, such as January 2026 U.S. store closures. Revenue expectations align with November guidance of $56-61 million, tempering optimism amid ongoing direct-to-consumer headwinds and consumer discretionary pressures. With shares near $3.50 and elevated implied volatility, the March 31 earnings release looms as the pivotal catalyst, where margin dynamics will test sustained profitability progress.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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