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August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Market icon

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.29 100.0%

<1.15  <1%

1.15-1.19 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

Polymarket

$1,628,206 Vol.

>1.29 100.0%

<1.15  <1%

1.15-1.19 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

Polymarket

$1,628,206 Vol.

<1.15

$473,762 Vol.

No

1.15-1.19

$432,073 Vol.

No

1.20-1.24

$386,231 Vol.

No

1.25-1.29

$122,453 Vol.

No

>1.29

$213,686 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.15°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.15°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of between 1.15°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.15°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.24°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.24°C (inclusive) for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of between 1.25°C (inclusive) and 1.29°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.25°C (inclusive) and 1.29°C (inclusive) for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than 1.29°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.29°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.15°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.15°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volumen
$1,628,206
Enddatum
15. Sep. 2024
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2024, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.15°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.15°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.15°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.15°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of between 1.15°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.15°C (inclusive) and 1.19°C (inclusive) August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.24°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.20°C (inclusive) and 1.24°C (inclusive) for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of between 1.25°C (inclusive) and 1.29°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.25°C (inclusive) and 1.29°C (inclusive) for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than 1.29°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.29°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.15°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.15°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Volumen
$1,628,206
Enddatum
15. Sep. 2024
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2024, 3:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.15°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.15°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „>1.29" mit 100%, gefolgt von „<1.15 " mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.6 million generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 13, 2024 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" ist „>1.29" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „<1.15 " mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.