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Politik·Weltwahlen

Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung

Market icon
Politik·Weltwahlen

Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung

BJP 93%

INC 3.8%

AGP 1.3%

BPF 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,131 Vol.

BJP 93%

INC 3.8%

AGP 1.3%

BPF 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,131 Vol.

Market icon

BJP

$2,112 Vol.

93%

Market icon

INC

$1,280 Vol.

4%

Market icon

AGP

$631 Vol.

1%

Market icon

BPF

$1,053 Vol.

1%

Market icon

NCP

$774 Vol.

1%

Market icon

NPEP

$896 Vol.

1%

Market icon

CPI(M)

$702 Vol.

1%

Market icon

AIUDF

$1,042 Vol.

1%

Market icon

AITC

$785 Vol.

1%

Market icon

CPI

$857 Vol.

1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe's March 31 survey projecting NDA 87–97 seats out of 126 and BJP securing a solo majority per People's Pulse, underpin trader consensus favoring BJP at 93% to win Assam's April 9 assembly elections. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval ratings—around 47–48% as preferred leader—stem from governance on illegal immigration, infrastructure, and job creation, bolstered by BJP's freshly unveiled Sankalp Patra promising Rs 5 lakh crore development, flood control, Uniform Civil Code, and two lakh jobs. Fragmented opposition, with Congress-led alliance polling 26–39 seats, reinforces BJP's path to a third term. Upsets could arise from youth unemployment backlash, alliance vote splits, or late scandals before single-phase polling.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$10,131
Enddatum
9. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe's March 31 survey projecting NDA 87–97 seats out of 126 and BJP securing a solo majority per People's Pulse, underpin trader consensus favoring BJP at 93% to win Assam's April 9 assembly elections. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval ratings—around 47–48% as preferred leader—stem from governance on illegal immigration, infrastructure, and job creation, bolstered by BJP's freshly unveiled Sankalp Patra promising Rs 5 lakh crore development, flood control, Uniform Civil Code, and two lakh jobs. Fragmented opposition, with Congress-led alliance polling 26–39 seats, reinforces BJP's path to a third term. Upsets could arise from youth unemployment backlash, alliance vote splits, or late scandals before single-phase polling.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$10,131
Enddatum
9. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „BJP" mit 93%, gefolgt von „INC" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 93¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $10.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 23, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" ist „BJP" mit 93%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „INC" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Assam Wahlsieger der gesetzgebenden Versammlung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.