President Trump's April 3 budget proposal requested $152 million in FY2027 funding to restore Alcatraz Island as a state-of-the-art federal prison for high-risk offenders, prompting widespread criticism from California officials like Governor Newsom and former Speaker Pelosi over costs, inhumanity, and waste, as well as opposition from indigenous groups citing its symbolic history. No congressional action has followed in the six weeks since, with full reopening facing insurmountable barriers: massive additional renovation expenses, infrastructure upgrades for power and water, environmental reviews, and National Park Service status changes—all impossible to complete by year-end. Traders price a 92.5% "No" probability, viewing the plan as symbolic rhetoric unlikely to advance amid divided appropriations processes. Late breakthroughs like surprise funding approval remain theoretically possible but improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
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31. Dez. 2026
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31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 3 budget proposal requested $152 million in FY2027 funding to restore Alcatraz Island as a state-of-the-art federal prison for high-risk offenders, prompting widespread criticism from California officials like Governor Newsom and former Speaker Pelosi over costs, inhumanity, and waste, as well as opposition from indigenous groups citing its symbolic history. No congressional action has followed in the six weeks since, with full reopening facing insurmountable barriers: massive additional renovation expenses, infrastructure upgrades for power and water, environmental reviews, and National Park Service status changes—all impossible to complete by year-end. Traders price a 92.5% "No" probability, viewing the plan as symbolic rhetoric unlikely to advance amid divided appropriations processes. Late breakthroughs like surprise funding approval remain theoretically possible but improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volumen
$1,151Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 3 budget proposal requested $152 million in FY2027 funding to restore Alcatraz Island as a state-of-the-art federal prison for high-risk offenders, prompting widespread criticism from California officials like Governor Newsom and former Speaker Pelosi over costs, inhumanity, and waste, as well as opposition from indigenous groups citing its symbolic history. No congressional action has followed in the six weeks since, with full reopening facing insurmountable barriers: massive additional renovation expenses, infrastructure upgrades for power and water, environmental reviews, and National Park Service status changes—all impossible to complete by year-end. Traders price a 92.5% "No" probability, viewing the plan as symbolic rhetoric unlikely to advance amid divided appropriations processes. Late breakthroughs like surprise funding approval remain theoretically possible but improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,151Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 3 budget proposal requested $152 million in FY2027 funding to restore Alcatraz Island as a state-of-the-art federal prison for high-risk offenders, prompting widespread criticism from California officials like Governor Newsom and former Speaker Pelosi over costs, inhumanity, and waste, as well as opposition from indigenous groups citing its symbolic history. No congressional action has followed in the six weeks since, with full reopening facing insurmountable barriers: massive additional renovation expenses, infrastructure upgrades for power and water, environmental reviews, and National Park Service status changes—all impossible to complete by year-end. Traders price a 92.5% "No" probability, viewing the plan as symbolic rhetoric unlikely to advance amid divided appropriations processes. Late breakthroughs like surprise funding approval remain theoretically possible but improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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