A.J. Brown’s 2026 receiving touchdown outlook hinges on his recovery from a Week 1 high-ankle sprain that sidelined him for four games on injured reserve and limited his early production with the Patriots. After a rusty return in Week 6, Brown posted just three receptions for 27 yards on 10 targets versus the Jets, including a career-high three drops, leaving him with six catches, 53 yards, and zero touchdowns through two appearances. Chemistry with quarterback Drake Maye remains a key variable, as the pair has connected on 23 targets across limited action, while New England’s offense has shown scoring potential in recent weeks. Brown’s veteran red-zone usage and target volume in a pass-heavy scheme will drive accumulation, though a short week ahead of Thursday’s matchup at Chicago and any lingering mobility concerns could shape his immediate efficiency.