Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No" at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the March 25 introduction of the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, which has stalled without committee advancement amid fierce bipartisan pushback. Sens. Mark Warner labeled it "idiocy," while Sen. John Fetterman warned it hands China an AI edge, echoing industry concerns over jobs, energy innovation, and economic growth amid booming data center demand. State-level actions, like Maine's legislature passing a temporary ban on April 9 awaiting funding, highlight local energy worries but underscore federal gridlock. Watch for committee hearings or White House AI policy updates as potential catalysts before year-end recesses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$13,885 Vol.
$13,885 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$13,885 Vol.
$13,885 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No" at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the March 25 introduction of the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, which has stalled without committee advancement amid fierce bipartisan pushback. Sens. Mark Warner labeled it "idiocy," while Sen. John Fetterman warned it hands China an AI edge, echoing industry concerns over jobs, energy innovation, and economic growth amid booming data center demand. State-level actions, like Maine's legislature passing a temporary ban on April 9 awaiting funding, highlight local energy worries but underscore federal gridlock. Watch for committee hearings or White House AI policy updates as potential catalysts before year-end recesses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$13,885Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No" at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the March 25 introduction of the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, which has stalled without committee advancement amid fierce bipartisan pushback. Sens. Mark Warner labeled it "idiocy," while Sen. John Fetterman warned it hands China an AI edge, echoing industry concerns over jobs, energy innovation, and economic growth amid booming data center demand. State-level actions, like Maine's legislature passing a temporary ban on April 9 awaiting funding, highlight local energy worries but underscore federal gridlock. Watch for committee hearings or White House AI policy updates as potential catalysts before year-end recesses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$13,885Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward "No" at 60.5% implied probability for a federal AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the March 25 introduction of the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, which has stalled without committee advancement amid fierce bipartisan pushback. Sens. Mark Warner labeled it "idiocy," while Sen. John Fetterman warned it hands China an AI edge, echoing industry concerns over jobs, energy innovation, and economic growth amid booming data center demand. State-level actions, like Maine's legislature passing a temporary ban on April 9 awaiting funding, highlight local energy worries but underscore federal gridlock. Watch for committee hearings or White House AI policy updates as potential catalysts before year-end recesses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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