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icon for Das Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren wurde vor 2027 verabschiedet?

Das Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren wurde vor 2027 verabschiedet?

icon for Das Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren wurde vor 2027 verabschiedet?

Das Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren wurde vor 2027 verabschiedet?

Ja

93% Chance
Polymarket

$50,790 Vol.

Ja

93% Chance
Polymarket

$50,790 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The surge in state and local backlash against AI data center expansion, fueled by rising energy demands and community concerns, underpins the market's strong 92.5% implied probability for a moratorium passing before 2027. Progressive lawmakers including Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduced federal legislation in March 2026 to pause large-scale projects until safeguards address grid strain and worker protections, while Maine advanced but ultimately saw its bill vetoed and over a dozen other states pursued similar measures, reflecting growing legislative momentum and historical patterns of environmental pushback on tech infrastructure. This consensus draws from widespread local moratoriums already in place across more than 100 jurisdictions and active bills in key states like New York and New Jersey. Industry lobbying and executive efforts to accelerate permitting could still create hurdles ahead of the 2026 midterms or major legislative deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$50,790
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The surge in state and local backlash against AI data center expansion, fueled by rising energy demands and community concerns, underpins the market's strong 92.5% implied probability for a moratorium passing before 2027. Progressive lawmakers including Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduced federal legislation in March 2026 to pause large-scale projects until safeguards address grid strain and worker protections, while Maine advanced but ultimately saw its bill vetoed and over a dozen other states pursued similar measures, reflecting growing legislative momentum and historical patterns of environmental pushback on tech infrastructure. This consensus draws from widespread local moratoriums already in place across more than 100 jurisdictions and active bills in key states like New York and New Jersey. Industry lobbying and executive efforts to accelerate permitting could still create hurdles ahead of the 2026 midterms or major legislative deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$50,790
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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„Das Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren wurde vor 2027 verabschiedet?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird ein Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren vor 2027 verabschiedet?" mit 92%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 92¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Das Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren wurde vor 2027 verabschiedet?" ist „Wird ein Moratorium für KI-Rechenzentren vor 2027 verabschiedet?" mit 92%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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