Ivory Coast’s commanding start in AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C has anchored trader consensus around their 76.5% implied probability of topping the section. The defending continental champions opened with a 2-0 win over Ghana and a 2-0 victory against Somalia, establishing a two-point cushion and superior goal difference after two matchdays. Gambia’s parallel perfect record, including a 4-2 defeat of Ghana, keeps them mathematically alive but at a distant 7.5% price, reflecting the gap in squad depth and historical performance. Ghana’s two heavy losses leave them at 5.8%, while Somalia sit at 0.5%. With four fixtures remaining across the November and March windows, Ivory Coast’s superior depth and recent form continue to drive the market’s assessment of the group winner.