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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat

icon for Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat

Jordan Bardella 76%

Marine Le Pen 22%

Multiple Candidates 4.2%

Polymarket
NEU

Jordan Bardella 76%

Marine Le Pen 22%

Multiple Candidates 4.2%

Polymarket
NEU

Marine Le Pen

$1,829 Vol.

22%

Jordan Bardella

$3,246 Vol.

76%

Multiple Candidates

$1,881 Vol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Le Pen’s March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, currently under appeal with a July 7, 2026 ruling expected, remain the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the National Rally’s 2027 presidential nominee. Bardella, the party’s president and Le Pen’s designated successor, benefits from her potential ineligibility while leading first-round polling averages for an RN candidate. Recent surveys indicate he would advance strongly to a runoff regardless of opponent, reflecting his broader appeal and the party’s continued normalization efforts ahead of the April–May 2027 vote. Le Pen retains core support within RN ranks, yet the legal timeline and Bardella’s rising profile have consolidated trader pricing around him as the frontrunner for the nomination.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.

If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.

If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,956
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Le Pen’s March 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, currently under appeal with a July 7, 2026 ruling expected, remain the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the National Rally’s 2027 presidential nominee. Bardella, the party’s president and Le Pen’s designated successor, benefits from her potential ineligibility while leading first-round polling averages for an RN candidate. Recent surveys indicate he would advance strongly to a runoff regardless of opponent, reflecting his broader appeal and the party’s continued normalization efforts ahead of the April–May 2027 vote. Le Pen retains core support within RN ranks, yet the legal timeline and Bardella’s rising profile have consolidated trader pricing around him as the frontrunner for the nomination.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.

If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.

If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,956
Enddatum
23. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 76%, gefolgt von „Marine Le Pen" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat" ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Nationaler Rallye-Kandidat" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.