Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 25% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, propelled by her dominant BNP Paribas Open victory last week where she outlasted Elena Rybakina 3-6, 6-3, 7-6(8-6) in the final for her first Indian Wells crown, underscoring her flat-hitting power and serve suited to grass-court speed. Rybakina, at 16%, holds strong with her 2022 Wimbledon championship and elite 70%+ grass win rate, while Iga Świątek's 15.9% reflects overall No. 3 ranking dominance tempered by historical grass struggles. Rising teen Victoria Mboko at 8.3% captures breakout momentum from top-10 ascent and deep WTA 1000 runs, injecting upside into a wide-open field lacking a clear repeat threat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAryna Sabalenka 25%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Iga Świątek 15.8%
Victoria Mboko 8.3%
$3,621,716 Vol.
$3,621,716 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Iga Świątek 15.8%
Victoria Mboko 8.3%
$3,621,716 Vol.
$3,621,716 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 25% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, propelled by her dominant BNP Paribas Open victory last week where she outlasted Elena Rybakina 3-6, 6-3, 7-6(8-6) in the final for her first Indian Wells crown, underscoring her flat-hitting power and serve suited to grass-court speed. Rybakina, at 16%, holds strong with her 2022 Wimbledon championship and elite 70%+ grass win rate, while Iga Świątek's 15.9% reflects overall No. 3 ranking dominance tempered by historical grass struggles. Rising teen Victoria Mboko at 8.3% captures breakout momentum from top-10 ascent and deep WTA 1000 runs, injecting upside into a wide-open field lacking a clear repeat threat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen