Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 25% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner following her hard-fought BNP Paribas Open title in Indian Wells, where she saved match point against Elena Rybakina in the final to claim her 23rd WTA trophy and solidify world No. 1 status. Rybakina, at 16%, leverages her 2022 Wimbledon championship and elite grass-court serve that thrives on the low-bouncing surface, while Iga Świątek's 15.9% reflects clay dominance but persistent grass struggles, evidenced by a recent Indian Wells quarterfinal exit. Rising star Victoria Mboko at 8.3% gains from deep runs like upsetting Amanda Anisimova at Indian Wells before falling to Sabalenka, highlighting her breakout hard-court form amid a wide-open field lacking a clear grass dominator.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAryna Sabalenka 25%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Iga Świątek 15.8%
Victoria Mboko 8.3%
$3,632,538 Vol.
$3,632,538 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Iga Świątek 15.8%
Victoria Mboko 8.3%
$3,632,538 Vol.
$3,632,538 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Iga Świątek
16%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Clara Tauson
3%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 25% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner following her hard-fought BNP Paribas Open title in Indian Wells, where she saved match point against Elena Rybakina in the final to claim her 23rd WTA trophy and solidify world No. 1 status. Rybakina, at 16%, leverages her 2022 Wimbledon championship and elite grass-court serve that thrives on the low-bouncing surface, while Iga Świątek's 15.9% reflects clay dominance but persistent grass struggles, evidenced by a recent Indian Wells quarterfinal exit. Rising star Victoria Mboko at 8.3% gains from deep runs like upsetting Amanda Anisimova at Indian Wells before falling to Sabalenka, highlighting her breakout hard-court form amid a wide-open field lacking a clear grass dominator.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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