Arizona, Michigan, and Duke lead Polymarket's 2026 NCAA Tournament futures with implied probabilities hovering near 20% thanks to their top-ranked 2025 recruiting classes—Arizona's headlined by five-star wing Jalen Haralson, Michigan's boosted by No. 1 overall recruit Tre Johnson under new coach Dusty May, and Duke's loaded with elite prospects like Cameron Boozer. This talent influx creates tight competition, as no single program dominates amid transfer portal volatility and unproven freshman integration. Florida's surge to 9.2% reflects Todd Golden's portal hauls, while historical powerhouse reloads like Houston and Purdue linger lower on returning core strength. Early non-conference schedules and Big Ten/ACC depth will test these dynamics, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing such preseason parity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertArizona 19.8%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 9.2%
$21,860,076 Vol.
$21,860,076 Vol.
Arizona
20%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Purdue
4%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
3%
Arkansas
2%
St. John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
Kansas
1%
Tennessee
1%
UCLA
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virginia
1%
Miami (FL)
1%
Nebraska
1%
Alabama
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas
<1%
VCU
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Arizona 19.8%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 9.2%
$21,860,076 Vol.
$21,860,076 Vol.
Arizona
20%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Purdue
4%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
3%
Arkansas
2%
St. John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
Kansas
1%
Tennessee
1%
UCLA
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virginia
1%
Miami (FL)
1%
Nebraska
1%
Alabama
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas
<1%
VCU
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Utah State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona, Michigan, and Duke lead Polymarket's 2026 NCAA Tournament futures with implied probabilities hovering near 20% thanks to their top-ranked 2025 recruiting classes—Arizona's headlined by five-star wing Jalen Haralson, Michigan's boosted by No. 1 overall recruit Tre Johnson under new coach Dusty May, and Duke's loaded with elite prospects like Cameron Boozer. This talent influx creates tight competition, as no single program dominates amid transfer portal volatility and unproven freshman integration. Florida's surge to 9.2% reflects Todd Golden's portal hauls, while historical powerhouse reloads like Houston and Purdue linger lower on returning core strength. Early non-conference schedules and Big Ten/ACC depth will test these dynamics, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing such preseason parity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen