The 2026 NCAA Tournament futures market shows razor-thin separation among leaders Michigan (20%), Arizona (19.7%), and Duke (17.5%), driven by elite recruiting hauls and transfer portal windfalls creating widespread parity. Michigan tops class rankings under Dusty May with forwards Derik Queen and Trey Williams III anchoring a rebuilt roster post-NCAA struggles. Arizona leverages Caleb Love's return and top-10 signees for continuity, while Duke boasts No. 1 recruit Cooper Flagg alongside Isaiah Evans, positioning Jon Scheyer's squad for freshman dominance. NBA draft losses to stars like Purdue's Zach Edey balance out via incoming talent, but unproven integration, grueling non-conference schedules, and conference realignments amplify uncertainty, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered amid the wisdom of crowds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertArizona 19.7%
Michigan 20%
Duke 18%
Florida 9.2%
$21,977,741 Vol.
$21,977,741 Vol.
Arizona
20%
Michigan
20%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Illinois
4%
Iowa State
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
3%
Arkansas
2%
St. John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Tennessee
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virginia
1%
Nebraska
1%
Alabama
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Iowa
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Arizona 19.7%
Michigan 20%
Duke 18%
Florida 9.2%
$21,977,741 Vol.
$21,977,741 Vol.
Arizona
20%
Michigan
20%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Illinois
4%
Iowa State
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
3%
Arkansas
2%
St. John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Tennessee
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virginia
1%
Nebraska
1%
Alabama
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Iowa
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Utah State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 NCAA Tournament futures market shows razor-thin separation among leaders Michigan (20%), Arizona (19.7%), and Duke (17.5%), driven by elite recruiting hauls and transfer portal windfalls creating widespread parity. Michigan tops class rankings under Dusty May with forwards Derik Queen and Trey Williams III anchoring a rebuilt roster post-NCAA struggles. Arizona leverages Caleb Love's return and top-10 signees for continuity, while Duke boasts No. 1 recruit Cooper Flagg alongside Isaiah Evans, positioning Jon Scheyer's squad for freshman dominance. NBA draft losses to stars like Purdue's Zach Edey balance out via incoming talent, but unproven integration, grueling non-conference schedules, and conference realignments amplify uncertainty, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered amid the wisdom of crowds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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