Arizona and Michigan hold razor-thin leads as Final Four trader consensus favorites at 34.6% and 34.5% implied probabilities, reflecting their parallel dominant Elite Eight runs that vaulted both No. 1 seeds into Indianapolis. Michigan torched Tennessee by 33 points—its largest tournament margin ever and first Final Four berth since 2018—while Arizona overcame Purdue in a gritty battle, showcasing balanced scoring and defensive clamps. Illinois (17.1%) punched its first Final Four ticket since 2005 with a 71-59 frontcourt clinic over Iowa, and UConn (13.4%) survived a thriller against Duke, but lacks the same offensive firepower. Momentum, rest edges post-Sweet 16, and bracket paths keep this championship race fiercely competitive among battle-tested squads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertArizona 34.6%
Michigan 35%
Illinois 17.1%
Connecticut 13.4%
$23,571,654 Vol.
$23,571,654 Vol.
Arizona
35%
Michigan
35%
Illinois
17%
Connecticut
13%
Arizona 34.6%
Michigan 35%
Illinois 17.1%
Connecticut 13.4%
$23,571,654 Vol.
$23,571,654 Vol.
Arizona
35%
Michigan
35%
Illinois
17%
Connecticut
13%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Arizona and Michigan hold razor-thin leads as Final Four trader consensus favorites at 34.6% and 34.5% implied probabilities, reflecting their parallel dominant Elite Eight runs that vaulted both No. 1 seeds into Indianapolis. Michigan torched Tennessee by 33 points—its largest tournament margin ever and first Final Four berth since 2018—while Arizona overcame Purdue in a gritty battle, showcasing balanced scoring and defensive clamps. Illinois (17.1%) punched its first Final Four ticket since 2005 with a 71-59 frontcourt clinic over Iowa, and UConn (13.4%) survived a thriller against Duke, but lacks the same offensive firepower. Momentum, rest edges post-Sweet 16, and bracket paths keep this championship race fiercely competitive among battle-tested squads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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