Michigan and Arizona lead the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner market as near-co-favorites at 34.5% and 33.8% implied probabilities, driven by their dominant Final Four paths as No. 1 seeds with 31-2 and 32-2 records, including Michigan's 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee and Arizona's physical rebounding edge in advancing past Purdue. Illinois surged to 16.8% after its historic upset of Houston on elite defense, while UConn holds 13.5% following a buzzer-beating three-pointer to stun Duke, leveraging back-to-back tournament experience. The bunched top odds reflect razor-thin semifinal margins—Michoigan-Arizona and UConn-Illinois—with momentum, guard play, and home-region advantages keeping the race intensely competitive amid frequent March Madness upsets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMichigan 35%
Arizona 33.7%
Illinois 16.8%
Connecticut 13.5%
$23,736,566 Vol.
$23,736,566 Vol.
Michigan
35%
Arizona
34%
Illinois
17%
Connecticut
14%
Michigan 35%
Arizona 33.7%
Illinois 16.8%
Connecticut 13.5%
$23,736,566 Vol.
$23,736,566 Vol.
Michigan
35%
Arizona
34%
Illinois
17%
Connecticut
14%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Michigan and Arizona lead the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner market as near-co-favorites at 34.5% and 33.8% implied probabilities, driven by their dominant Final Four paths as No. 1 seeds with 31-2 and 32-2 records, including Michigan's 95-62 Elite Eight rout of Tennessee and Arizona's physical rebounding edge in advancing past Purdue. Illinois surged to 16.8% after its historic upset of Houston on elite defense, while UConn holds 13.5% following a buzzer-beating three-pointer to stun Duke, leveraging back-to-back tournament experience. The bunched top odds reflect razor-thin semifinal margins—Michoigan-Arizona and UConn-Illinois—with momentum, guard play, and home-region advantages keeping the race intensely competitive amid frequent March Madness upsets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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