No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke advanced through the Sweet 16 with convincing wins—Arizona dominating Arkansas, Michigan cruising past Alabama 90-77, and Duke rallying against St. John's—solidifying their frontrunner status in trader consensus at 28%, 24%, and 23% implied probabilities for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title. Illinois surged to 12% after an elite defensive effort upset No. 2 Houston 65-55, setting up a Big Ten clash with Iowa in the South Regional final. The tight race reflects evenly matched Elite Eight paths, including Arizona-Purdue rematch potential and no major injuries reported, with historical Final Four volatility keeping the wisdom of crowds cautious amid bracket chaos.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertArizona 27.4%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 11.6%
$22,396,221 Vol.
$22,396,221 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Purdue
6%
Connecticut
5%
Iowa
3%
Tennessee
3%
Arizona 27.4%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 11.6%
$22,396,221 Vol.
$22,396,221 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Purdue
6%
Connecticut
5%
Iowa
3%
Tennessee
3%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke advanced through the Sweet 16 with convincing wins—Arizona dominating Arkansas, Michigan cruising past Alabama 90-77, and Duke rallying against St. John's—solidifying their frontrunner status in trader consensus at 28%, 24%, and 23% implied probabilities for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title. Illinois surged to 12% after an elite defensive effort upset No. 2 Houston 65-55, setting up a Big Ten clash with Iowa in the South Regional final. The tight race reflects evenly matched Elite Eight paths, including Arizona-Purdue rematch potential and no major injuries reported, with historical Final Four volatility keeping the wisdom of crowds cautious amid bracket chaos.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen