Trader consensus for the 2026 Miami Open winner shows a tight cluster around 48% implied probability for hardcourt standouts Sebastian Korda, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, and Alejandro Tabilo, reflecting the futures market's inherent uncertainty 18 months out amid fluid ATP rankings and form swings. This bunching stems from a deep 96-player draw where qualifying battles and early-round upsets level the field, Miami's humid conditions favoring aggressive baseline games over pure power, and no clear dominant force post-recent injuries to top seeds. Korda's recent U.S. hardcourt momentum and Etcheverry's grinding consistency mirror Tabilo's serving prowess, while stars like Sinner and Alcaraz dip lower on schedule fatigue risks, highlighting crowd wisdom in pricing volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSieger der Miami Open 2026
Sieger der Miami Open 2026
Sebastian Korda 95%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 95%
Alejandro Tabilo 95%
Arthur Cazaux 92%
$18,159 Vol.
$18,159 Vol.
Sebastian Korda
95%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
95%
Alejandro Tabilo
95%
Arthur Cazaux
92%
Martin Damm
90%
Marton Fucsovics
88%
Andrey Rublev
87%
Arthur Rinderknech
86%
Corentin Moutet
84%
Damir Dzumhur
84%
Alex Michelsen
82%
Ugo Humbert
81%
Raphael Collignon
81%
Tommy Paul
80%
Cameron Norrie
79%
Marin Cilic
79%
Valentin Vacherot
53%
Taylor Fritz
52%
Jakub Mensik
52%
Karen Khachanov
52%
Jiri Lehecka
52%
Frances Tiafoe
52%
Brandon Nakashima
52%
Kamil Majchrzak
52%
Matteo Berrettini
52%
Arthur Fils
51%
Quentin Halys
50%
Rei Sakamoto
50%
Jannik Sinner
41%
Francisco Cerundolo
47%
Gabriel Diallo
47%
Terence Atmane
45%
Ethan Quinn
44%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Ben Shelton
28%
Daniil Medvedev
18%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
16%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3%
Learner Tien
3%
Tomas Machac
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
Sebastian Korda 95%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 95%
Alejandro Tabilo 95%
Arthur Cazaux 92%
$18,159 Vol.
$18,159 Vol.
Sebastian Korda
95%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
95%
Alejandro Tabilo
95%
Arthur Cazaux
92%
Martin Damm
90%
Marton Fucsovics
88%
Andrey Rublev
87%
Arthur Rinderknech
86%
Corentin Moutet
84%
Damir Dzumhur
84%
Alex Michelsen
82%
Ugo Humbert
81%
Raphael Collignon
81%
Tommy Paul
80%
Cameron Norrie
79%
Marin Cilic
79%
Valentin Vacherot
53%
Taylor Fritz
52%
Jakub Mensik
52%
Karen Khachanov
52%
Jiri Lehecka
52%
Frances Tiafoe
52%
Brandon Nakashima
52%
Kamil Majchrzak
52%
Matteo Berrettini
52%
Arthur Fils
51%
Quentin Halys
50%
Rei Sakamoto
50%
Jannik Sinner
41%
Francisco Cerundolo
47%
Gabriel Diallo
47%
Terence Atmane
45%
Ethan Quinn
44%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Ben Shelton
28%
Daniil Medvedev
18%
Alexander Zverev
16%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
16%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3%
Learner Tien
3%
Tomas Machac
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the 2026 Miami Open winner shows a tight cluster around 48% implied probability for hardcourt standouts Sebastian Korda, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, and Alejandro Tabilo, reflecting the futures market's inherent uncertainty 18 months out amid fluid ATP rankings and form swings. This bunching stems from a deep 96-player draw where qualifying battles and early-round upsets level the field, Miami's humid conditions favoring aggressive baseline games over pure power, and no clear dominant force post-recent injuries to top seeds. Korda's recent U.S. hardcourt momentum and Etcheverry's grinding consistency mirror Tabilo's serving prowess, while stars like Sinner and Alcaraz dip lower on schedule fatigue risks, highlighting crowd wisdom in pricing volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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