Trader consensus on the 2026 Miami Open winner reflects a remarkably even field, with Arthur Rinderknech, Sebastian Korda, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, and Alejandro Tabilo clustered at 48% implied probabilities due to their consistent hard court breakthroughs and upset potential in recent ATP events. Korda's strong U.S. hard court record and local support edge him slightly, while Etcheverry and Tabilo have surged with deep runs in 2024 challengers and masters qualifiers, mirroring Rinderknech's qualifier prowess. Top seeds like Alcaraz and Sinner lag at 41.5% and 38.5% amid injury histories and surface inconsistencies, fostering uncertainty; the wisdom of crowds prices in frequent Miami upsets, rest advantages, and draw volatility keeping mid-pack contenders tightly bunched.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSieger der Miami Open 2026
Sieger der Miami Open 2026
Arthur Rinderknech 96%
Sebastian Korda 96%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 96%
Martin Damm 92%
$17,583 Vol.
$17,583 Vol.
Arthur Rinderknech
96%
Sebastian Korda
96%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
96%
Martin Damm
92%
Marton Fucsovics
91%
Andrey Rublev
89%
Corentin Moutet
84%
Damir Dzumhur
84%
Ugo Humbert
82%
Alex Michelsen
82%
Raphael Collignon
81%
Tommy Paul
80%
Tomas Machac
79%
Marin Cilic
79%
Cameron Norrie
78%
Arthur Cazaux
54%
Valentin Vacherot
53%
Taylor Fritz
52%
Jakub Mensik
52%
Karen Khachanov
52%
Jiri Lehecka
52%
Frances Tiafoe
52%
Brandon Nakashima
52%
Kamil Majchrzak
52%
Matteo Berrettini
52%
Arthur Fils
51%
Quentin Halys
50%
Rei Sakamoto
50%
Francisco Cerundolo
47%
Gabriel Diallo
47%
Terence Atmane
45%
Ethan Quinn
44%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
39%
Ben Shelton
28%
Daniil Medvedev
19%
Alexander Zverev
18%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
18%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3%
Learner Tien
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
Alejandro Tabilo
-
Arthur Rinderknech 96%
Sebastian Korda 96%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 96%
Martin Damm 92%
$17,583 Vol.
$17,583 Vol.
Arthur Rinderknech
96%
Sebastian Korda
96%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
96%
Martin Damm
92%
Marton Fucsovics
91%
Andrey Rublev
89%
Corentin Moutet
84%
Damir Dzumhur
84%
Ugo Humbert
82%
Alex Michelsen
82%
Raphael Collignon
81%
Tommy Paul
80%
Tomas Machac
79%
Marin Cilic
79%
Cameron Norrie
78%
Arthur Cazaux
54%
Valentin Vacherot
53%
Taylor Fritz
52%
Jakub Mensik
52%
Karen Khachanov
52%
Jiri Lehecka
52%
Frances Tiafoe
52%
Brandon Nakashima
52%
Kamil Majchrzak
52%
Matteo Berrettini
52%
Arthur Fils
51%
Quentin Halys
50%
Rei Sakamoto
50%
Francisco Cerundolo
47%
Gabriel Diallo
47%
Terence Atmane
45%
Ethan Quinn
44%
Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Jannik Sinner
39%
Ben Shelton
28%
Daniil Medvedev
19%
Alexander Zverev
18%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
18%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3%
Learner Tien
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
Alejandro Tabilo
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 Miami Open winner reflects a remarkably even field, with Arthur Rinderknech, Sebastian Korda, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, and Alejandro Tabilo clustered at 48% implied probabilities due to their consistent hard court breakthroughs and upset potential in recent ATP events. Korda's strong U.S. hard court record and local support edge him slightly, while Etcheverry and Tabilo have surged with deep runs in 2024 challengers and masters qualifiers, mirroring Rinderknech's qualifier prowess. Top seeds like Alcaraz and Sinner lag at 41.5% and 38.5% amid injury histories and surface inconsistencies, fostering uncertainty; the wisdom of crowds prices in frequent Miami upsets, rest advantages, and draw volatility keeping mid-pack contenders tightly bunched.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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