Spain leads trader consensus at 15.7% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup following their dominant Euro 2024 victory and unbeaten European qualifiers, bolstered by a youthful core including Yamal and Pedri thriving in high-pressing systems. France (13.6%) and England (11.4%) remain tight challengers, leveraging Mbappé's speed, Kane's finishing, and deep squads that advanced comfortably through qualifiers ending March 31 with playoff drama for lower seeds like Bosnia-Herzegovina and Iraq. Argentina (9.2%) and Brazil (8.6%) add South American firepower despite Messi's age, while the expanded 48-team format, host boosts for USA/Canada/Mexico, and group stage draws heighten volatility, keeping the race competitive among 16 UEFA powerhouses and global dark horses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSpanien 15.7%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 13.6%
England 11.4%
Argentinien 9.2%
$496,930,200 Vol.
$496,930,200 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
14%

England
11%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
9%

Portugal
7%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
3%

Norwegen
3%

Japan
2%

Belgien
2%

Marokko
2%

Kolumbien
2%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

Mexiko
1%

Kroatien
1%

Schweiz
1%

Ecuador
1%

Türkei
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Schweden
1%

Kanada
1%

Österreich
1%

Südkorea
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Australien
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%
Spanien 15.7%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 13.6%
England 11.4%
Argentinien 9.2%
$496,930,200 Vol.
$496,930,200 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
14%

England
11%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
9%

Portugal
7%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
3%

Norwegen
3%

Japan
2%

Belgien
2%

Marokko
2%

Kolumbien
2%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

Mexiko
1%

Kroatien
1%

Schweiz
1%

Ecuador
1%

Türkei
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Schweden
1%

Kanada
1%

Österreich
1%

Südkorea
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Australien
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads trader consensus at 15.7% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup following their dominant Euro 2024 victory and unbeaten European qualifiers, bolstered by a youthful core including Yamal and Pedri thriving in high-pressing systems. France (13.6%) and England (11.4%) remain tight challengers, leveraging Mbappé's speed, Kane's finishing, and deep squads that advanced comfortably through qualifiers ending March 31 with playoff drama for lower seeds like Bosnia-Herzegovina and Iraq. Argentina (9.2%) and Brazil (8.6%) add South American firepower despite Messi's age, while the expanded 48-team format, host boosts for USA/Canada/Mexico, and group stage draws heighten volatility, keeping the race competitive among 16 UEFA powerhouses and global dark horses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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