Spain edges the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 15.8% implied probability following their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign atop Group E and Euro 2024 success, bolstered by young stars like Lamine Yamal and a seamless generational shift evident in March squad announcements. France (13%) and England (12%) remain tight contenders, with France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil last week—despite playing a man down—highlighting Kylian Mbappé's form, while England's €1.02 billion squad value underscores depth. The bunched leaderboard reflects a parity-driven 48-team field post-dramatic March 31 playoff finals (Bosnia, Czechia, Sweden, Turkey qualifying via penalties), uncertain group stage draws, and five months until kickoff, where injuries, Nations League results, or tactical tweaks could pivot trader consensus amid widespread European and South American strength.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertSpanien 16.0%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 13.0%
England 12.0%
Argentinien 9.3%
$465,495,617 Vol.
$465,495,617 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
13%

England
12%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
9%

Portugal
7%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
3%

Norwegen
3%

Belgien
2%

Japan
2%

Kolumbien
2%

USA
2%

Marokko
2%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Schweiz
1%

Mexiko
1%

Ecuador
1%

Türkei
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Schweden
1%

Kanada
1%

Österreich
1%

Südkorea
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Australien
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Iran
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Irak
<1%
Spanien 16.0%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 13.0%
England 12.0%
Argentinien 9.3%
$465,495,617 Vol.
$465,495,617 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
13%

England
12%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
9%

Portugal
7%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
3%

Norwegen
3%

Belgien
2%

Japan
2%

Kolumbien
2%

USA
2%

Marokko
2%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Schweiz
1%

Mexiko
1%

Ecuador
1%

Türkei
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Schweden
1%

Kanada
1%

Österreich
1%

Südkorea
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Australien
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Iran
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Irak
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 15.8% implied probability following their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign atop Group E and Euro 2024 success, bolstered by young stars like Lamine Yamal and a seamless generational shift evident in March squad announcements. France (13%) and England (12%) remain tight contenders, with France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil last week—despite playing a man down—highlighting Kylian Mbappé's form, while England's €1.02 billion squad value underscores depth. The bunched leaderboard reflects a parity-driven 48-team field post-dramatic March 31 playoff finals (Bosnia, Czechia, Sweden, Turkey qualifying via penalties), uncertain group stage draws, and five months until kickoff, where injuries, Nations League results, or tactical tweaks could pivot trader consensus amid widespread European and South American strength.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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