Javokhir Sindarov's explosive 5.5/6 score after six rounds of the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament in Cyprus has propelled him to an 85% implied probability as tournament winner, reflecting trader consensus on his historic dominance as the youngest participant and current world No. 5. Key recent developments include back-to-back victories over pre-tournament favorites Fabiano Caruana (Round 4), Hikaru Nakamura (Round 5), and Wei Yi (Round 6), extending his lead to 1.5 points over Caruana at 4/6, while others trail further amid draws and losses. With 10 rounds remaining through April 16, Sindarov's momentum and perfect 3/3 as Black underscore the market's strong favoritism, though upsets remain possible in this double round-robin format.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJavokhir Sindarov 85%
Fabiano Caruana 14%
Praggnanandhaa R <1%
Anish Giri <1%
$2,924,917 Vol.
$2,924,917 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
85%
Fabiano Caruana
14%
Praggnanandhaa R
1%
Anish Giri
1%
Hikaru Nakamura
<1%
Wei Yi
<1%
Matthias Blübaum
<1%
Andrey Esipenko
<1%
Javokhir Sindarov 85%
Fabiano Caruana 14%
Praggnanandhaa R <1%
Anish Giri <1%
$2,924,917 Vol.
$2,924,917 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
85%
Fabiano Caruana
14%
Praggnanandhaa R
1%
Anish Giri
1%
Hikaru Nakamura
<1%
Wei Yi
<1%
Matthias Blübaum
<1%
Andrey Esipenko
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javokhir Sindarov's explosive 5.5/6 score after six rounds of the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament in Cyprus has propelled him to an 85% implied probability as tournament winner, reflecting trader consensus on his historic dominance as the youngest participant and current world No. 5. Key recent developments include back-to-back victories over pre-tournament favorites Fabiano Caruana (Round 4), Hikaru Nakamura (Round 5), and Wei Yi (Round 6), extending his lead to 1.5 points over Caruana at 4/6, while others trail further amid draws and losses. With 10 rounds remaining through April 16, Sindarov's momentum and perfect 3/3 as Black underscore the market's strong favoritism, though upsets remain possible in this double round-robin format.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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