Skip to main content
icon for Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger

Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger

icon for Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger

Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger

BFP 56%

UBJP 43%

Wahl verschoben/abgesagt <1%

PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY <1%

Polymarket

$71,658 Vol.

BFP 56%

UBJP 43%

Wahl verschoben/abgesagt <1%

PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY <1%

Polymarket

$71,658 Vol.

BFP

$13,365 Vol.

56%

UBJP

$44,171 Vol.

43%

Wahl verschoben/abgesagt

$758 Vol.

1%

PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY

$561 Vol.

1%

BAPA

$711 Vol.

1%

LBIAA

$805 Vol.

1%

ISLPI

$645 Vol.

1%

BGC

$711 Vol.

<1%

BEST PARTY

$681 Vol.

<1%

C4P

$658 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUPA

$600 Vol.

<1%

MAHARDIKA

$580 Vol.

<1%

RSEU

$581 Vol.

<1%

THE ROYALS

$564 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUMA

$1,014 Vol.

<1%

DTLO

$575 Vol.

<1%

ISAMA

$615 Vol.

<1%

MORO AKO

$615 Vol.

<1%

PBB

$563 Vol.

<1%

TPWC

$505 Vol.

<1%

RSL

$460 Vol.

<1%

ABOT

$643 Vol.

<1%

MUSHAWARA

$673 Vol.

<1%

RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY

$604 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election, set for September 14, features a mixed system allocating 40 seats via regional party lists and 32 through single-member districts, with 13 registered parties competing among roughly 2.3 million voters. Trader pricing reflects a narrow contest centered on the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) and United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), where recent BFP campaign launches and high-profile switches from UBJP affiliates have supported its modest lead while UBJP retains core backing from the Moro Islamic Liberation Front and established nominees. Multiple unopposed BFP district candidacies and broader party-list fragmentation among groups like BAPA, BGC, and Mahardika contribute to the tight implied probabilities, as no single force has consolidated decisive advantages ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volumen
$71,658
Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election, set for September 14, features a mixed system allocating 40 seats via regional party lists and 32 through single-member districts, with 13 registered parties competing among roughly 2.3 million voters. Trader pricing reflects a narrow contest centered on the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) and United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), where recent BFP campaign launches and high-profile switches from UBJP affiliates have supported its modest lead while UBJP retains core backing from the Moro Islamic Liberation Front and established nominees. Multiple unopposed BFP district candidacies and broader party-list fragmentation among groups like BAPA, BGC, and Mahardika contribute to the tight implied probabilities, as no single force has consolidated decisive advantages ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volumen
$71,658
Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 24 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „BFP" mit 56%, gefolgt von „UBJP" mit 43%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 56¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $71.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 16, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 24 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger" ist „BFP" mit 56%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „UBJP" mit 43%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Parlamentswahl in Bangsamoro 2026: Parteisieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.