The 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election, set for September 14, features a mixed system allocating 40 seats via regional party lists and 32 through single-member districts, with 13 registered parties competing among roughly 2.3 million voters. Trader pricing reflects a narrow contest centered on the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) and United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), where recent BFP campaign launches and high-profile switches from UBJP affiliates have supported its modest lead while UBJP retains core backing from the Moro Islamic Liberation Front and established nominees. Multiple unopposed BFP district candidacies and broader party-list fragmentation among groups like BAPA, BGC, and Mahardika contribute to the tight implied probabilities, as no single force has consolidated decisive advantages ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBFP 56%
UBJP 43%
Wahl verschoben/abgesagt <1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY <1%
$71,658 Vol.
$71,658 Vol.
BFP
56%
UBJP
43%
Wahl verschoben/abgesagt
1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
1%
BAPA
1%
LBIAA
1%
ISLPI
1%
BGC
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
C4P
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
DTLO
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
MORO AKO
<1%
PBB
<1%
TPWC
<1%
RSL
<1%
ABOT
<1%
MUSHAWARA
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
<1%
BFP 56%
UBJP 43%
Wahl verschoben/abgesagt <1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY <1%
$71,658 Vol.
$71,658 Vol.
BFP
56%
UBJP
43%
Wahl verschoben/abgesagt
1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
1%
BAPA
1%
LBIAA
1%
ISLPI
1%
BGC
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
C4P
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
DTLO
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
MORO AKO
<1%
PBB
<1%
TPWC
<1%
RSL
<1%
ABOT
<1%
MUSHAWARA
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election, set for September 14, features a mixed system allocating 40 seats via regional party lists and 32 through single-member districts, with 13 registered parties competing among roughly 2.3 million voters. Trader pricing reflects a narrow contest centered on the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) and United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), where recent BFP campaign launches and high-profile switches from UBJP affiliates have supported its modest lead while UBJP retains core backing from the Moro Islamic Liberation Front and established nominees. Multiple unopposed BFP district candidacies and broader party-list fragmentation among groups like BAPA, BGC, and Mahardika contribute to the tight implied probabilities, as no single force has consolidated decisive advantages ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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