This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows the third greatest increase of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2025 August is higher than all but two previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 August is tied for third highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA August be used. If no information for August 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.