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Jul 16, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

86%
51%
2
icon for Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

90%
50%
3
icon for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

17%
41%
4
icon for Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

14%
39%
5
icon for Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

72%
33%
6
icon for Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?

Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?

0%
33%
7
icon for Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

11%
29%
8
icon for Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

63%
27%
9
icon for Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

18%
26%
10
icon for Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

63%
25%
11
icon for Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

45%
24%
12
icon for Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

43%
23%
13
icon for Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

55%
22%
14
icon for Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

59%
22%
15
icon for Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

26%
21%
16
icon for Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?

68%
21%
17
icon for Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

26%
20%
18
icon for Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

35%
18%
19
icon for Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

44%
17%
20
icon for Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?

Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?

95%
16%
21
icon for Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

14%
13%
22
icon for US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

47%
13%
23
icon for Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?

Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?

26%
13%
24
icon for Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?

88%
13%
25
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

54%
12%