Jul 12, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
2

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
3

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
4

Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3
5

Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6


Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
8

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
9

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
10

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?
11

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
12

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
13

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
14

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
15

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
16


Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
17

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
18

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
19

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
20

Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?
21


Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
22

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
23

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
24

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
25
