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Aug 12, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

99%
98%
2
icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

99%
95%
3
icon for Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

100%
92%
4
icon for Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?

Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?

97%
75%
5
icon for Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?

100%
61%
6
icon for Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?

Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?

79%
59%
7
icon for Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?

100%
53%
8
icon for Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

100%
52%
9
icon for Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

7%
50%
10
icon for Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

56%
40%
11
icon for Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

78%
38%
12
icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

73%
33%
13
icon for Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?

Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?

0%
33%
14
icon for Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

8%
30%
15
icon for Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

100%
28%
16
icon for Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

100%
28%
17
icon for Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

100%
26%
18
icon for Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

19%
23%
19
icon for Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?

Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?

4%
21%
20
icon for Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

50%
20%
21
icon for Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?

14%
19%
22
icon for Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

57%
18%
23
icon for Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

24%
18%
24
icon for Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

27%
18%
25
icon for Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

9%
17%