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Houthis predictions & odds

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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

40%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$165K today

$220K Liq.

481

Ends in about 1 month

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

48%

<5

$1.9K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

94%

<5

$12.0K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

5%

UAE

$1M Vol.

$378K Liq.

14

Ends in 13 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

28%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

168

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$29.7K Vol.

$257K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

44%

20+

$492K Vol.

$77.8K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$18M Vol.

$158K today

$2M Liq.

2

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

43%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$137K today

$323K Liq.

119

Ends in 8 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

43%

$251K Vol.

$118K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

62%

20-39

$93.7K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$200 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

4%

$15M Vol.

$768K today

$451K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

29%

$7M Vol.

$237K today

$422K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

64%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$1M today

$307K Liq.

788

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

38%

May 31

$306K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 13 days

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$414 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

46%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$111K Liq.

69

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

95%

$761K Vol.

$80.4K Liq.

64

Ends in about 1 month

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

8%

$1M Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

23

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Houthis.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Houthis that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $89.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Houthis predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.