Trump has exercised broad clemency authority throughout his second term, issuing a mass pardon on January 20, 2025, for approximately 1,500 individuals charged or convicted in connection with the January 6 Capitol events, along with commutations for several high-profile figures. Additional grants occurred in batches through 2025 and 2026, including multiple rounds for fraud, public corruption, and other federal offenses, with documented actions as recent as July 2026. These developments reflect routine presidential use of Article II pardon power early in the term and continuing at intervals. Any market tied to a specific cutoff date would turn on whether the resolution window includes one or more of these confirmed grants, with trader consensus shaped by the established pattern of early and repeated clemency actions rather than isolated announcements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$10,326 Vol.

August 31
43%
$10,326 Vol.

August 31
43%
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised broad clemency authority throughout his second term, issuing a mass pardon on January 20, 2025, for approximately 1,500 individuals charged or convicted in connection with the January 6 Capitol events, along with commutations for several high-profile figures. Additional grants occurred in batches through 2025 and 2026, including multiple rounds for fraud, public corruption, and other federal offenses, with documented actions as recent as July 2026. These developments reflect routine presidential use of Article II pardon power early in the term and continuing at intervals. Any market tied to a specific cutoff date would turn on whether the resolution window includes one or more of these confirmed grants, with trader consensus shaped by the established pattern of early and repeated clemency actions rather than isolated announcements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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