Recent House action reinforces the 94.5% trader consensus against passage by September 30. On July 15, 2026, the chamber rejected Rep. Thomas Massie's amendment to the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill (H.R. 8595) that would have eliminated $3.3 billion in military financing for Israel, 314-104, with only 103 Democrats supporting it. The underlying appropriations measure and the National Defense Authorization Act advanced with provisions expanding U.S.-Israel defense cooperation. Republican majorities, combined with Democratic leadership signals favoring continued partnership ahead of the 2028 MOU expiration, have produced no committee advancement or floor scheduling for restriction legislation. With limited session time before the deadline and no new catalysts emerging, traders assess near-term passage as improbable absent a sharp reversal in congressional priorities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent House action reinforces the 94.5% trader consensus against passage by September 30. On July 15, 2026, the chamber rejected Rep. Thomas Massie's amendment to the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill (H.R. 8595) that would have eliminated $3.3 billion in military financing for Israel, 314-104, with only 103 Democrats supporting it. The underlying appropriations measure and the National Defense Authorization Act advanced with provisions expanding U.S.-Israel defense cooperation. Republican majorities, combined with Democratic leadership signals favoring continued partnership ahead of the 2028 MOU expiration, have produced no committee advancement or floor scheduling for restriction legislation. With limited session time before the deadline and no new catalysts emerging, traders assess near-term passage as improbable absent a sharp reversal in congressional priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,957শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent House action reinforces the 94.5% trader consensus against passage by September 30. On July 15, 2026, the chamber rejected Rep. Thomas Massie's amendment to the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill (H.R. 8595) that would have eliminated $3.3 billion in military financing for Israel, 314-104, with only 103 Democrats supporting it. The underlying appropriations measure and the National Defense Authorization Act advanced with provisions expanding U.S.-Israel defense cooperation. Republican majorities, combined with Democratic leadership signals favoring continued partnership ahead of the 2028 MOU expiration, have produced no committee advancement or floor scheduling for restriction legislation. With limited session time before the deadline and no new catalysts emerging, traders assess near-term passage as improbable absent a sharp reversal in congressional priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,957শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent House action reinforces the 94.5% trader consensus against passage by September 30. On July 15, 2026, the chamber rejected Rep. Thomas Massie's amendment to the FY2027 State Department appropriations bill (H.R. 8595) that would have eliminated $3.3 billion in military financing for Israel, 314-104, with only 103 Democrats supporting it. The underlying appropriations measure and the National Defense Authorization Act advanced with provisions expanding U.S.-Israel defense cooperation. Republican majorities, combined with Democratic leadership signals favoring continued partnership ahead of the 2028 MOU expiration, have produced no committee advancement or floor scheduling for restriction legislation. With limited session time before the deadline and no new catalysts emerging, traders assess near-term passage as improbable absent a sharp reversal in congressional priorities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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