Traders assign an 86.5% probability against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 memorandum of understanding collapsed without producing an agreement. The 60-day negotiation window expired in mid-August amid renewed hostilities, failure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. On September 10, the IAEA board voted to refer Iran to the Security Council for the first time in two decades over unresolved inspection issues and lack of cooperation on uranium traces, a move backed by the United States and opposed by Russia and China. These developments have left core issues such as enrichment limits, stockpile disposition, and verification unresolved, with no scheduled talks or diplomatic breakthroughs in the final months of the year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% সম্ভাবনা
$228,688 Vol.
$228,688 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% সম্ভাবনা
$228,688 Vol.
$228,688 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Traders assign an 86.5% probability against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 memorandum of understanding collapsed without producing an agreement. The 60-day negotiation window expired in mid-August amid renewed hostilities, failure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. On September 10, the IAEA board voted to refer Iran to the Security Council for the first time in two decades over unresolved inspection issues and lack of cooperation on uranium traces, a move backed by the United States and opposed by Russia and China. These developments have left core issues such as enrichment limits, stockpile disposition, and verification unresolved, with no scheduled talks or diplomatic breakthroughs in the final months of the year.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
ভলিউম
$228,688শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Traders assign an 86.5% probability against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 memorandum of understanding collapsed without producing an agreement. The 60-day negotiation window expired in mid-August amid renewed hostilities, failure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. On September 10, the IAEA board voted to refer Iran to the Security Council for the first time in two decades over unresolved inspection issues and lack of cooperation on uranium traces, a move backed by the United States and opposed by Russia and China. These developments have left core issues such as enrichment limits, stockpile disposition, and verification unresolved, with no scheduled talks or diplomatic breakthroughs in the final months of the year.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$228,688শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 86.5% probability against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31 because the June 2026 memorandum of understanding collapsed without producing an agreement. The 60-day negotiation window expired in mid-August amid renewed hostilities, failure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and revocation of U.S. sanctions waivers. On September 10, the IAEA board voted to refer Iran to the Security Council for the first time in two decades over unresolved inspection issues and lack of cooperation on uranium traces, a move backed by the United States and opposed by Russia and China. These developments have left core issues such as enrichment limits, stockpile disposition, and verification unresolved, with no scheduled talks or diplomatic breakthroughs in the final months of the year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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