Russian forces have sustained aerial strikes on Kyiv and surrounding oblasts into September 2026, including drone and missile barrages on September 11-12 that damaged residential buildings, a gas station, and other sites while causing multiple casualties. These attacks resumed after a brief pause tied to U.S. envoy visits in early September and follow intensified combined drone-missile campaigns in late August that struck warehouses and infrastructure near the capital. Ukraine has countered with long-range strikes on Russian energy facilities and shadow fleet tankers in the Black Sea and Azov regions. Trader assessments of near-term targeting of Kyiv reflect the frequency of these strikes, Ukraine’s air defense constraints, and any diplomatic signals that could prompt temporary halts or escalations.