Jordan’s role hosting U.S. military facilities has placed it in the path of Iranian retaliation during the ongoing regional escalation, with multiple ballistic missile and drone barrages launched from Iranian territory toward Jordanian air bases since late summer 2026. Jordanian air defenses have intercepted the large majority of these projectiles, while officials have publicly condemned the strikes and activated defense cooperation agreements with allies. Recent diplomatic contacts, including a September meeting between the foreign ministers in New York, focused on de-escalation and respect for sovereignty amid broader U.S.-Iran tensions. Traders assess the probability of further qualifying strikes by late October against the backdrop of active conflict cycles, U.S. force posture in the kingdom, and any new retaliatory triggers.