NOAA's updated August outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasting a 75% chance of below-normal activity with only 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes, underpins the strong trader consensus against a Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027. The current quiet start, with just two named storms and no hurricanes through early August, aligns with suppressed conditions tied to evolving El Niño influences and reduced accumulated cyclone energy. Category 5 systems, requiring sustained winds of 157 mph or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, remain statistically rare even in active seasons, with the last U.S. landfall occurring in 2018. Upcoming peak-season model runs from NOAA and Colorado State University will provide further clarity on intensification potential and steering patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13% সম্ভাবনা
$139,196 Vol.
$139,196 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
13% সম্ভাবনা
$139,196 Vol.
$139,196 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.NOAA's updated August outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasting a 75% chance of below-normal activity with only 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes, underpins the strong trader consensus against a Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027. The current quiet start, with just two named storms and no hurricanes through early August, aligns with suppressed conditions tied to evolving El Niño influences and reduced accumulated cyclone energy. Category 5 systems, requiring sustained winds of 157 mph or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, remain statistically rare even in active seasons, with the last U.S. landfall occurring in 2018. Upcoming peak-season model runs from NOAA and Colorado State University will provide further clarity on intensification potential and steering patterns.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$139,196শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.NOAA's updated August outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasting a 75% chance of below-normal activity with only 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes, underpins the strong trader consensus against a Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027. The current quiet start, with just two named storms and no hurricanes through early August, aligns with suppressed conditions tied to evolving El Niño influences and reduced accumulated cyclone energy. Category 5 systems, requiring sustained winds of 157 mph or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, remain statistically rare even in active seasons, with the last U.S. landfall occurring in 2018. Upcoming peak-season model runs from NOAA and Colorado State University will provide further clarity on intensification potential and steering patterns.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
ভলিউম
$139,196শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NOAA's updated August outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasting a 75% chance of below-normal activity with only 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes, underpins the strong trader consensus against a Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027. The current quiet start, with just two named storms and no hurricanes through early August, aligns with suppressed conditions tied to evolving El Niño influences and reduced accumulated cyclone energy. Category 5 systems, requiring sustained winds of 157 mph or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale, remain statistically rare even in active seasons, with the last U.S. landfall occurring in 2018. Upcoming peak-season model runs from NOAA and Colorado State University will provide further clarity on intensification potential and steering patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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