**Diplomatic momentum around the Abraham Accords has revived in recent months, but formal accession by a new country remains unlikely before the October 31 deadline.** Kazakhstan announced its intent in late 2025 and participated in the first multilateral meeting of Accords partners since 2023 in September 2026, yet a high-level signing ceremony is still pending without a confirmed date. Comments from Israeli officials in mid-September projected the next potential member—possibly Kuwait—within four to six months, placing any addition after the resolution window. Broader normalization talks, including with Saudi Arabia, continue to face longstanding regional conditions tied to the Palestinian issue and post-conflict stabilization, with no verified breakthroughs or scheduled signings in the immediate term. Traders appear to view these timelines and procedural hurdles as decisive barriers to a new join by month-end.