FIFA president Gianni Infantino and multiple official statements have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled, including group-stage matches in the United States, anchoring the 96.9% implied probability for no replacement. Iran secured qualification through AFC playoffs and continues squad preparation under coach Amir Ghalenoei despite geopolitical tensions and demands for security guarantees. A U.S. envoy's April proposal to insert four-time champion Italy instead drew swift rejections from Italian officials and FIFA sources, with no regulatory mechanism activated for substitution. The UAE or other AFC sides remain theoretical alternatives only if Iran withdraws, an outcome with no supporting developments in the past month.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo Replacement 96.8%
Other 1.1%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.

No Replacement
97%

Other
1%

UAE
1%

Italy
1%

Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.8%
Other 1.1%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.

No Replacement
97%

Other
1%

UAE
1%

Italy
1%

Bolivia
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA president Gianni Infantino and multiple official statements have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup as scheduled, including group-stage matches in the United States, anchoring the 96.9% implied probability for no replacement. Iran secured qualification through AFC playoffs and continues squad preparation under coach Amir Ghalenoei despite geopolitical tensions and demands for security guarantees. A U.S. envoy's April proposal to insert four-time champion Italy instead drew swift rejections from Italian officials and FIFA sources, with no regulatory mechanism activated for substitution. The UAE or other AFC sides remain theoretical alternatives only if Iran withdraws, an outcome with no supporting developments in the past month.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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