Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video benchmarks in September 2026 through superior native audio synthesis, photorealistic output, prompt adherence, and controllable motion, giving traders strong consensus around its 63% implied probability. Recent arena rankings and comparisons highlight its edge over alternatives in quality metrics that matter for end-of-October evaluation. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 sits at 11.5% as a capable contender with strong dynamic camera work and value, while Alibaba models trail further behind. OpenAI's Sora 2 at 0.1% reflects its API deprecation later this month, removing it from active competition. Other listed companies remain low-probability options absent major new releases or capability jumps before the deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGoogle 63%
ByteDance 12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.5%
Meta 1.7%
$37,462 Vol.
$37,462 Vol.

63%

ByteDance
12%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
4%

Meta
2%

Pixverse
1%

Tencent
1%

KlingAI
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Runway
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Kandinsky
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Pika
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

OpenAI
<1%
Google 63%
ByteDance 12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.5%
Meta 1.7%
$37,462 Vol.
$37,462 Vol.

63%

ByteDance
12%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
4%

Meta
2%

Pixverse
1%

Tencent
1%

KlingAI
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Runway
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Kandinsky
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Pika
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

OpenAI
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video benchmarks in September 2026 through superior native audio synthesis, photorealistic output, prompt adherence, and controllable motion, giving traders strong consensus around its 63% implied probability. Recent arena rankings and comparisons highlight its edge over alternatives in quality metrics that matter for end-of-October evaluation. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 sits at 11.5% as a capable contender with strong dynamic camera work and value, while Alibaba models trail further behind. OpenAI's Sora 2 at 0.1% reflects its API deprecation later this month, removing it from active competition. Other listed companies remain low-probability options absent major new releases or capability jumps before the deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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