Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 88.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by September 30 because its latest Claude releases, including Fable 5.1 and Opus 4.8 variants, have posted leading results on dynamic math tasks and related olympiad-style evaluations such as USAMO 2026. These models demonstrate clear gains in multi-step mathematical reasoning and contamination-resistant problem solving compared with prior generations. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and related reasoning models sit at just 9%, reflecting recent leaderboard snapshots where Anthropic edged ahead in the specific LiveBench Mathematics category despite competitive overall scores elsewhere. With resolution only two weeks away and no major new releases confirmed from other labs in the past month, traders see limited room for a late reversal from DeepSeek, Google, or Meta entries that trail on verified math benchmarks. The market aggregates real capital on these capability edges rather than marketing claims.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 89%
OpenAI 9%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$50,356 Vol.
$50,356 Vol.

Anthropic
89%

OpenAI
9%

DeepSeek
<1%

Meta
<1%

<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Amazon
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Thinky
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 9%
DeepSeek <1%
Meta <1%
$50,356 Vol.
$50,356 Vol.

Anthropic
89%

OpenAI
9%

DeepSeek
<1%

Meta
<1%

<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Amazon
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Thinky
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematicsরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematicsরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 88.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by September 30 because its latest Claude releases, including Fable 5.1 and Opus 4.8 variants, have posted leading results on dynamic math tasks and related olympiad-style evaluations such as USAMO 2026. These models demonstrate clear gains in multi-step mathematical reasoning and contamination-resistant problem solving compared with prior generations. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and related reasoning models sit at just 9%, reflecting recent leaderboard snapshots where Anthropic edged ahead in the specific LiveBench Mathematics category despite competitive overall scores elsewhere. With resolution only two weeks away and no major new releases confirmed from other labs in the past month, traders see limited room for a late reversal from DeepSeek, Google, or Meta entries that trail on verified math benchmarks. The market aggregates real capital on these capability edges rather than marketing claims.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা