Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability for the best LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by consistent top rankings for its Claude family in mathematical reasoning and related benchmarks amid a competitive frontier. Recent Claude releases have demonstrated strong capabilities in multi-step problem solving and frontier math tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT variants at 35.5% despite the latter's frequent high scores on MATH-500 and AIME-style evaluations. Google's low 3.3% odds reflect limited recent gains relative to leaders, while numerous 50% or sub-1% outcomes for other labs highlight uncertainty around potential new releases or benchmark shifts. Key catalysts include any model updates or LiveBench refreshes through late October that could alter the mathematics category standings before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.7%
MiniMax <1%
$21,587 Vol.
$21,587 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
36%
3%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.7%
MiniMax <1%
$21,587 Vol.
$21,587 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,372 Vol.
64%
OpenAI
$6,409 Vol.
36%
$1,461 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$488 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$518 Vol.
1%
Meta
$501 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$509 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability for the best LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by consistent top rankings for its Claude family in mathematical reasoning and related benchmarks amid a competitive frontier. Recent Claude releases have demonstrated strong capabilities in multi-step problem solving and frontier math tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT variants at 35.5% despite the latter's frequent high scores on MATH-500 and AIME-style evaluations. Google's low 3.3% odds reflect limited recent gains relative to leaders, while numerous 50% or sub-1% outcomes for other labs highlight uncertainty around potential new releases or benchmark shifts. Key catalysts include any model updates or LiveBench refreshes through late October that could alter the mathematics category standings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$21,587শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability for the best LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by consistent top rankings for its Claude family in mathematical reasoning and related benchmarks amid a competitive frontier. Recent Claude releases have demonstrated strong capabilities in multi-step problem solving and frontier math tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT variants at 35.5% despite the latter's frequent high scores on MATH-500 and AIME-style evaluations. Google's low 3.3% odds reflect limited recent gains relative to leaders, while numerous 50% or sub-1% outcomes for other labs highlight uncertainty around potential new releases or benchmark shifts. Key catalysts include any model updates or LiveBench refreshes through late October that could alter the mathematics category standings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
ভলিউম
$21,587শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability for the best LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by consistent top rankings for its Claude family in mathematical reasoning and related benchmarks amid a competitive frontier. Recent Claude releases have demonstrated strong capabilities in multi-step problem solving and frontier math tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT variants at 35.5% despite the latter's frequent high scores on MATH-500 and AIME-style evaluations. Google's low 3.3% odds reflect limited recent gains relative to leaders, while numerous 50% or sub-1% outcomes for other labs highlight uncertainty around potential new releases or benchmark shifts. Key catalysts include any model updates or LiveBench refreshes through late October that could alter the mathematics category standings before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা