Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models currently top independent leaderboards including Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and BenchAlign, with strong showings on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Google's Gemini variants. Recent releases such as Opus 5 have reinforced this edge through demonstrated gains in alignment, long-horizon tasks, and price-performance, driving trader consensus toward Anthropic at 93.5% implied probability for end-of-August resolution on the Chatbot Arena metric. A credible late-August model launch or benchmark surge from OpenAI or another lab could still narrow the gap, though no such development has materialized in the past two weeks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 94%
OpenAI 4.0%
Google 1.8%
Meta <1%
$1,564,005 Vol.
$1,564,005 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
94%
OpenAI
4%
2%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 94%
OpenAI 4.0%
Google 1.8%
Meta <1%
$1,564,005 Vol.
$1,564,005 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$334,020 Vol.
94%
OpenAI
$143,988 Vol.
4%
$124,668 Vol.
2%
Meta
$136,012 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$129,134 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$109,031 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$133,250 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$145,845 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$107,002 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$15,032 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$11,009 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$9,778 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$88,729 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$11,465 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$12,844 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$23,168 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,351 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$3,803 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$4,363 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$4,993 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$11,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models currently top independent leaderboards including Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and BenchAlign, with strong showings on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Google's Gemini variants. Recent releases such as Opus 5 have reinforced this edge through demonstrated gains in alignment, long-horizon tasks, and price-performance, driving trader consensus toward Anthropic at 93.5% implied probability for end-of-August resolution on the Chatbot Arena metric. A credible late-August model launch or benchmark surge from OpenAI or another lab could still narrow the gap, though no such development has materialized in the past two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,564,005শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models currently top independent leaderboards including Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and BenchAlign, with strong showings on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Google's Gemini variants. Recent releases such as Opus 5 have reinforced this edge through demonstrated gains in alignment, long-horizon tasks, and price-performance, driving trader consensus toward Anthropic at 93.5% implied probability for end-of-August resolution on the Chatbot Arena metric. A credible late-August model launch or benchmark surge from OpenAI or another lab could still narrow the gap, though no such development has materialized in the past two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$1,564,005শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models currently top independent leaderboards including Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and BenchAlign, with strong showings on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and Google's Gemini variants. Recent releases such as Opus 5 have reinforced this edge through demonstrated gains in alignment, long-horizon tasks, and price-performance, driving trader consensus toward Anthropic at 93.5% implied probability for end-of-August resolution on the Chatbot Arena metric. A credible late-August model launch or benchmark surge from OpenAI or another lab could still narrow the gap, though no such development has materialized in the past two weeks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা