Anthropic leads the market at 76.5% implied probability due to its recent Claude model iterations demonstrating strong benchmark results and capability edges in controlled evaluations. Traders appear to view the company's focused development approach and safety emphasis as positioning it ahead of competitors through late October. OpenAI at 11.5% and Google at 5.7% trail amid ongoing model updates and competitive releases, while lower-priced names like Meta and Chinese labs reflect limited near-term momentum in public leaderboards. Key upcoming catalysts include expected capability demonstrations or third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 77%
OpenAI 8.3%
Baidu 8.3%
Google 7.0%
$17,756 Vol.
$17,756 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
77%
OpenAI
8%
Baidu
8%
7%
Meta
5%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
1%
Nvidia
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
Microsoft
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Meituan
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
StepFun
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 77%
OpenAI 8.3%
Baidu 8.3%
Google 7.0%
$17,756 Vol.
$17,756 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$11,597 Vol.
77%
OpenAI
$448 Vol.
8%
Baidu
$164 Vol.
8%
$325 Vol.
7%
Meta
$283 Vol.
5%
Alibaba
$326 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$357 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$290 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$366 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$307 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$286 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$283 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$247 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$302 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$286 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$422 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$287 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$328 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$286 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$287 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads the market at 76.5% implied probability due to its recent Claude model iterations demonstrating strong benchmark results and capability edges in controlled evaluations. Traders appear to view the company's focused development approach and safety emphasis as positioning it ahead of competitors through late October. OpenAI at 11.5% and Google at 5.7% trail amid ongoing model updates and competitive releases, while lower-priced names like Meta and Chinese labs reflect limited near-term momentum in public leaderboards. Key upcoming catalysts include expected capability demonstrations or third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$17,756শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads the market at 76.5% implied probability due to its recent Claude model iterations demonstrating strong benchmark results and capability edges in controlled evaluations. Traders appear to view the company's focused development approach and safety emphasis as positioning it ahead of competitors through late October. OpenAI at 11.5% and Google at 5.7% trail amid ongoing model updates and competitive releases, while lower-priced names like Meta and Chinese labs reflect limited near-term momentum in public leaderboards. Key upcoming catalysts include expected capability demonstrations or third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$17,756শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads the market at 76.5% implied probability due to its recent Claude model iterations demonstrating strong benchmark results and capability edges in controlled evaluations. Traders appear to view the company's focused development approach and safety emphasis as positioning it ahead of competitors through late October. OpenAI at 11.5% and Google at 5.7% trail amid ongoing model updates and competitive releases, while lower-priced names like Meta and Chinese labs reflect limited near-term momentum in public leaderboards. Key upcoming catalysts include expected capability demonstrations or third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা