Google’s repeated delays of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally promised for June after its May I/O announcement—drive the 32.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by November 1. The model has remained in limited partner testing while falling short on internal coding and agentic benchmarks, prompting Google to prioritize monthly Flash variants instead, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash. Traders also weigh the start of Gemini 4 pre-training and the company’s conservative rollout pattern for frontier large language models. Near-term catalysts include any API changelog updates or developer conference hints that could clarify whether 3.5 Pro ships before the November deadline or yields to the next flagship cycle.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo release by November 1 33%
September 28–October 4 19.9%
October 12–October 18 11%
October 19–October 25 6.4%
$38,278 Vol.
$38,278 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
1%
September 7–September 13
4%
September 14–September 20
5%
September 21–September 27
6%
September 28–October 4
20%
October 5–October 11
2%
October 12–October 18
11%
October 19–October 25
6%
October 26–November 1
3%
No release by November 1
33%
No release by November 1 33%
September 28–October 4 19.9%
October 12–October 18 11%
October 19–October 25 6.4%
$38,278 Vol.
$38,278 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
$324 Vol.
1%
September 7–September 13
$1,119 Vol.
4%
September 14–September 20
$375 Vol.
5%
September 21–September 27
$516 Vol.
6%
September 28–October 4
$456 Vol.
20%
October 5–October 11
$348 Vol.
2%
October 12–October 18
$557 Vol.
11%
October 19–October 25
$402 Vol.
6%
October 26–November 1
$426 Vol.
3%
No release by November 1
$32,977 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally promised for June after its May I/O announcement—drive the 32.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by November 1. The model has remained in limited partner testing while falling short on internal coding and agentic benchmarks, prompting Google to prioritize monthly Flash variants instead, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash. Traders also weigh the start of Gemini 4 pre-training and the company’s conservative rollout pattern for frontier large language models. Near-term catalysts include any API changelog updates or developer conference hints that could clarify whether 3.5 Pro ships before the November deadline or yields to the next flagship cycle.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$38,278শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally promised for June after its May I/O announcement—drive the 32.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by November 1. The model has remained in limited partner testing while falling short on internal coding and agentic benchmarks, prompting Google to prioritize monthly Flash variants instead, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash. Traders also weigh the start of Gemini 4 pre-training and the company’s conservative rollout pattern for frontier large language models. Near-term catalysts include any API changelog updates or developer conference hints that could clarify whether 3.5 Pro ships before the November deadline or yields to the next flagship cycle.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$38,278শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Google’s repeated delays of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally promised for June after its May I/O announcement—drive the 32.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by November 1. The model has remained in limited partner testing while falling short on internal coding and agentic benchmarks, prompting Google to prioritize monthly Flash variants instead, including the September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash. Traders also weigh the start of Gemini 4 pre-training and the company’s conservative rollout pattern for frontier large language models. Near-term catalysts include any API changelog updates or developer conference hints that could clarify whether 3.5 Pro ships before the November deadline or yields to the next flagship cycle.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা