Former Rep. Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability in the VA-02 Democratic primary due to her incumbency experience from 2019-2023, robust fundraising exceeding $1.7 million raised and $2.2 million cash on hand in the latest April FEC filing, and key endorsements from Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger, Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, EMILYs List, and the DCCC's February "Red to Blue" targeting. James Osyf holds second at 9% despite suspending his campaign in December 2025 to unify Democrats, while Matt Strickler, Burk Stringfellow, and others trail with minimal resources and name recognition in the crowded field. Recent redistricting votes and the August 4 primary date underscore Luria's consolidation amid no public polls.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডElaine Luria 84%
James Osyf 5.9%
Matt Strickler 4.0%
Burk Stringfellow 3.9%
Elaine Luria
84%
James Osyf
6%
Matt Strickler
4%
Burk Stringfellow
4%
Nila Devanath
4%
Nicolaus Sleister
3%
Patrick Mosolf
2%
Elaine Luria 84%
James Osyf 5.9%
Matt Strickler 4.0%
Burk Stringfellow 3.9%
Elaine Luria
84%
James Osyf
6%
Matt Strickler
4%
Burk Stringfellow
4%
Nila Devanath
4%
Nicolaus Sleister
3%
Patrick Mosolf
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Rep. Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability in the VA-02 Democratic primary due to her incumbency experience from 2019-2023, robust fundraising exceeding $1.7 million raised and $2.2 million cash on hand in the latest April FEC filing, and key endorsements from Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger, Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, EMILYs List, and the DCCC's February "Red to Blue" targeting. James Osyf holds second at 9% despite suspending his campaign in December 2025 to unify Democrats, while Matt Strickler, Burk Stringfellow, and others trail with minimal resources and name recognition in the crowded field. Recent redistricting votes and the August 4 primary date underscore Luria's consolidation amid no public polls.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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