Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $1.5 million raised versus Nate Blouin's $526,000 as of late April—and prior polling edges showing him at 36% support. Blouin holds second at 19.5% amid progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution on May 8, highlighting ideological clashes over McAdams' past moderate votes on minimum wage and abortion rights. Liban Mohamed's April 25 convention upset over McAdams via ranked-choice voting provides modest momentum at 5.5%, but a fragmented field and primary electorate favor McAdams' name recognition and resources as ballots prepare to mail in early June.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBen McAdams 76%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.5%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,413 Vol.
$29,413 Vol.
Ben McAdams
76%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
6%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Ben McAdams 76%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.5%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,413 Vol.
$29,413 Vol.
Ben McAdams
76%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
6%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $1.5 million raised versus Nate Blouin's $526,000 as of late April—and prior polling edges showing him at 36% support. Blouin holds second at 19.5% amid progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution on May 8, highlighting ideological clashes over McAdams' past moderate votes on minimum wage and abortion rights. Liban Mohamed's April 25 convention upset over McAdams via ranked-choice voting provides modest momentum at 5.5%, but a fragmented field and primary electorate favor McAdams' name recognition and resources as ballots prepare to mail in early June.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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