Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability in the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his early polling edge (36% in March Data for Progress survey), fundraising dominance, and endorsement from state Sen. Kathleen Riebe, who dropped out in April citing inability to compete financially. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 19.9% reflects momentum from his narrow ranked-choice upset over McAdams at the April 25 state convention, securing delegate support in the new blue-leaning district but falling short of the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. State Sen. Nate Blouin's 19.5% stems from progressive appeal amid undecided voters (25% in polls), though conservative dark money ads target him; no new polls have emerged in the past two weeks to shift dynamics significantly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBen McAdams 76%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.5%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,413 Vol.
$29,413 Vol.
Ben McAdams
76%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
6%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Ben McAdams 76%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 5.5%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,413 Vol.
$29,413 Vol.
Ben McAdams
76%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
6%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability in the UT-01 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his early polling edge (36% in March Data for Progress survey), fundraising dominance, and endorsement from state Sen. Kathleen Riebe, who dropped out in April citing inability to compete financially. Newcomer Liban Mohamed's 19.9% reflects momentum from his narrow ranked-choice upset over McAdams at the April 25 state convention, securing delegate support in the new blue-leaning district but falling short of the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. State Sen. Nate Blouin's 19.5% stems from progressive appeal amid undecided voters (25% in polls), though conservative dark money ads target him; no new polls have emerged in the past two weeks to shift dynamics significantly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা