Ben McAdams leads the Utah 1st Congressional District Democratic primary field with 71.5% implied probability due to his prior congressional service, substantial fundraising edge of nearly $1 million over rivals, and name recognition in the newly drawn district. The June 23 primary features a split among progressive challengers, including state Sen. Nate Blouin at 24.5%, convention winner Liban Mohamed at 4.9%, and Michael Farrell, with recent debate exchanges on data centers, housing, and the Great Salt Lake underscoring limited consolidation efforts. Other listed candidates remain marginal in polling and fundraising. Trader positioning reflects McAdams’s structural advantages ahead of the vote, while acknowledging that shifts in progressive voter turnout could narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBen McAdams 72%
Nate Blouin 25%
Liban Mohamed 4.9%
Luz Escamilla <1%
$35,810 Vol.
$35,810 Vol.
Ben McAdams
72%
Nate Blouin
25%
Liban Mohamed
5%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Ben McAdams 72%
Nate Blouin 25%
Liban Mohamed 4.9%
Luz Escamilla <1%
$35,810 Vol.
$35,810 Vol.
Ben McAdams
72%
Nate Blouin
25%
Liban Mohamed
5%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ben McAdams leads the Utah 1st Congressional District Democratic primary field with 71.5% implied probability due to his prior congressional service, substantial fundraising edge of nearly $1 million over rivals, and name recognition in the newly drawn district. The June 23 primary features a split among progressive challengers, including state Sen. Nate Blouin at 24.5%, convention winner Liban Mohamed at 4.9%, and Michael Farrell, with recent debate exchanges on data centers, housing, and the Great Salt Lake underscoring limited consolidation efforts. Other listed candidates remain marginal in polling and fundraising. Trader positioning reflects McAdams’s structural advantages ahead of the vote, while acknowledging that shifts in progressive voter turnout could narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা