President Trump briefly proposed in July 2026 that the United States charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz as reimbursement for naval security, framing America as the waterway’s “guardian,” but reversed course within days after lobbying from Gulf allies, shifting instead to trade and investment commitments from regional states. Ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks aim at a temporary, toll-free reopening of the strait tied to renewed nuclear negotiations, while international maritime bodies and shipping groups oppose mandatory fees on legal and economic grounds. These diplomatic and legal barriers, combined with the administration’s pivot away from direct levies, underpin trader consensus pricing the probability of US fees by year-end near single digits.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$941,686 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
December 31
8%
$941,686 Vol.
August 31
$157,637 Vol.
1%
December 31
$97,004 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump briefly proposed in July 2026 that the United States charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz as reimbursement for naval security, framing America as the waterway’s “guardian,” but reversed course within days after lobbying from Gulf allies, shifting instead to trade and investment commitments from regional states. Ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks aim at a temporary, toll-free reopening of the strait tied to renewed nuclear negotiations, while international maritime bodies and shipping groups oppose mandatory fees on legal and economic grounds. These diplomatic and legal barriers, combined with the administration’s pivot away from direct levies, underpin trader consensus pricing the probability of US fees by year-end near single digits.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$941,686শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump briefly proposed in July 2026 that the United States charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz as reimbursement for naval security, framing America as the waterway’s “guardian,” but reversed course within days after lobbying from Gulf allies, shifting instead to trade and investment commitments from regional states. Ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks aim at a temporary, toll-free reopening of the strait tied to renewed nuclear negotiations, while international maritime bodies and shipping groups oppose mandatory fees on legal and economic grounds. These diplomatic and legal barriers, combined with the administration’s pivot away from direct levies, underpin trader consensus pricing the probability of US fees by year-end near single digits.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$941,686শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump briefly proposed in July 2026 that the United States charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz as reimbursement for naval security, framing America as the waterway’s “guardian,” but reversed course within days after lobbying from Gulf allies, shifting instead to trade and investment commitments from regional states. Ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks aim at a temporary, toll-free reopening of the strait tied to renewed nuclear negotiations, while international maritime bodies and shipping groups oppose mandatory fees on legal and economic grounds. These diplomatic and legal barriers, combined with the administration’s pivot away from direct levies, underpin trader consensus pricing the probability of US fees by year-end near single digits.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা