Recent Bank of England projections and independent economist surveys position modest UK GDP growth as the baseline for Q3 2026, with the 0.2–0.3% QoQ outcome carrying the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%. Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1, but underlying momentum has softened amid higher energy prices from Middle East tensions eroding real incomes and household spending. The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates underlying growth near 0% in Q3 as slack widens and tight financial conditions, including the 3.75% Bank Rate, restrain demand. Treasury surveys align with a median 0.2% reading for the quarter, while annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 1.0–1.1%. Elevated inflation pass-through and subdued business confidence reinforce the clustering around low-single-digit positive outcomes ahead of the next ONS release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.2–0.3% 44%
0.4–0.5% 27%
0.0–0.1% 20%
Negative 6%
$18,242 Vol.
$18,242 Vol.
Nov 11, 2026
Negative
6%
0.0–0.1%
20%
0.2–0.3%
44%
0.4–0.5%
27%
0.6–0.7%
5%
0.8–0.9%
2%
1.0%+
2%
0.2–0.3% 44%
0.4–0.5% 27%
0.0–0.1% 20%
Negative 6%
$18,242 Vol.
$18,242 Vol.
Nov 11, 2026
Negative
$3,955 Vol.
6%
0.0–0.1%
$5,347 Vol.
20%
0.2–0.3%
$6,574 Vol.
44%
0.4–0.5%
$1,673 Vol.
27%
0.6–0.7%
$265 Vol.
5%
0.8–0.9%
$196 Vol.
2%
1.0%+
$232 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent Bank of England projections and independent economist surveys position modest UK GDP growth as the baseline for Q3 2026, with the 0.2–0.3% QoQ outcome carrying the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%. Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1, but underlying momentum has softened amid higher energy prices from Middle East tensions eroding real incomes and household spending. The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates underlying growth near 0% in Q3 as slack widens and tight financial conditions, including the 3.75% Bank Rate, restrain demand. Treasury surveys align with a median 0.2% reading for the quarter, while annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 1.0–1.1%. Elevated inflation pass-through and subdued business confidence reinforce the clustering around low-single-digit positive outcomes ahead of the next ONS release.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$18,242শেষ তারিখ
Nov 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent Bank of England projections and independent economist surveys position modest UK GDP growth as the baseline for Q3 2026, with the 0.2–0.3% QoQ outcome carrying the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%. Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1, but underlying momentum has softened amid higher energy prices from Middle East tensions eroding real incomes and household spending. The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates underlying growth near 0% in Q3 as slack widens and tight financial conditions, including the 3.75% Bank Rate, restrain demand. Treasury surveys align with a median 0.2% reading for the quarter, while annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 1.0–1.1%. Elevated inflation pass-through and subdued business confidence reinforce the clustering around low-single-digit positive outcomes ahead of the next ONS release.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$18,242শেষ তারিখ
Nov 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of England projections and independent economist surveys position modest UK GDP growth as the baseline for Q3 2026, with the 0.2–0.3% QoQ outcome carrying the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%. Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1, but underlying momentum has softened amid higher energy prices from Middle East tensions eroding real incomes and household spending. The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report anticipates underlying growth near 0% in Q3 as slack widens and tight financial conditions, including the 3.75% Bank Rate, restrain demand. Treasury surveys align with a median 0.2% reading for the quarter, while annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 1.0–1.1%. Elevated inflation pass-through and subdued business confidence reinforce the clustering around low-single-digit positive outcomes ahead of the next ONS release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা